This is a REALLY long post, but I found it facinating.  The best I can tell is this guy, who lives in or near Houston, was at one time in his life a political analyst.  He eventually turned to game reviews (apparently, political analysis doesn’t pay much if you don’t sell your soul to a candidate / party).  It looks like he’s made several posts about the election, but this final one is the best. 

I don’t know how accurate it is (he calls out several “pollsters” so why can the guy writing the article be trusted), but it seems based in things I’ve been seeing.  And some of the things I’ve been wanting to see, of course!

Read it in pieces to break it up throughout the day.  It is interesting and will give you some hope.